When even such a highly conservative automaker as Toyota claims to start developing an "autopilot", the proponents of the idea of ??"enjoying driving" have to get used to the idea that they will soon be on the roads in the minority. As the agency Bloomberg , representatives of one of the largest automakers Renault Nissan are convinced that the next ten years will change the car market as it has not changed over the previous hundred years.
In countries with developed economies, the structure of ownership of the fleet will change. Already by 2030, according to some estimates, 95% of private trips to the US will be made using robotic taxis called by mobile applications. With this model of use, the total number of vehicles will decrease, but the vehicle fleet will have to be renewed more often due to accelerated wear and tear - "public" cars will be more intensive and less idle. The area for parking can be reduced, since the "robobooms" will not be idle under the window all day, waiting for the owner.
The main volumes of vehicle sales in the coming years will be generated by countries with a growing economy. Already, India's car market is close to competing in volume with Germany. As we know, the Indian authorities are betting on electric cars, bypassing the hybridization phase of cars with ICE. China is also actively translating the domestic transport used for electric traction - albeit exactly, as long as this process is stimulated by government subsidies.
Renault believes that the corporations of the IT sector such as Waymo, a company separated from Google, will not start producing "mobile cars" themselves, since this is a very costly business with high competition and low profit margins. The optimal solution for such companies would be cooperation with existing automakers. Actually, in Waymo it is already realized - new prototypes of "robots" are created in cooperation with Fiat Chrysler.