Semiconductor industry headed by Intel company for a long time preserved the development rates , described by Moore law , according to whom the transistors arrangement density per unit of microcircuit area doubles every two years. Forecasts in recent years , that Moore's law will cease to work after a certain time. Passage to the thinner technological standards costs larger amount of money, and physical barriers in the decrease of transistor sizes become more serious.
As reports associate, in 2009 Intel chapter Paul otellini stated that silicon begins to eliminate itself as material for the production of microprocessors, and Intel company will remove it in not more than three generations of technical processes, after Intel will use new materials. Experiments in this region had been already conducted, Intel is completely contented by their results. If we consider that each technical process in Intel production calendar is found in the active phase in approximately two years, it is possible to make the assumption that the passage to the new materials will start in the near six seven years.
Simultaneously Intel chapter stated that the bottom of crisis is already passed for the company . And in 2010 there will be large demand from cooperate sector , Now the average computer age in the corporate sector, according to Intel estimations , is equal to five years, notebook to four years. In western corporations the maintenance costs of this computer begin to hang around the expenditures for the purchase of new computer; therefore, enterprises will begin to get rid from the old technology and buy new even under the limited budgets conditions .