Moore law will cease in 2014

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POSTER: computer news   ||   MOORE LAW WILL CEASE IN 2014	DATE:2009-06-18
Semiconductor industry, until now, was able to follow Moore's law, formulated in 1965 by one of the Intel company founders : the quantity of transistors for semiconductor microcircuit doubled every two years. Many analysts are asserted, that in the future Moore's law will cease to work. Moreover, not on due to technological, but for economic reasons. Intel company  , however, hopes to preserve the action of Moore's law as minimum up to 2017. In IBM opinion, the previous rates of increase in the density of transistor arrangement will not be soon claimed by industry, with exception of high performance multi core processors. According to fresh study of the analytical agency iSuppli, Moore's law can cease to act already up to 2014. To this time lithographic technologies will reach 20 nm and 18 nm, and the expenditure for the introduction of thin technical processes will be too high for comparability within the previous periods. Problem consists in the fact that for retaining the action of Moore's law the payback period investments in the new technological process become too long. Producers will use one generation technical process, trying to maximally justify this introduction from the economic side. Producer can increase the productivity of chips using other methods - for examples, due to the introduction of three-dimensional structures in microcircuits. The predominating factor, which determines the rates of semiconductor development industry, will  not become the technology, but the economy. Related Products :

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